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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2020-01-25T18:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2020-01-25T18:00Z
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2020-01-29T04:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 30.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 6.0
Predicted Dst min. in nT: -55
Predicted Dst min. time: 2020-01-29T17:00Z
Prediction Method: Anemomilos
Prediction Method Note:
Two small events from source region at N05E19 with the first occurring at 202001251600 having a velocity of 515 km/s and the second occurring at 202001251800 having a velocity of 343 km/s. Main component of flux rope is Bz southward.
Lead Time: 82.00 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) on 2020-01-25T18:00Z
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